Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.150658 0.179918 0.212852 0.252596 0.299184 0.351987 0.416294
2025-04-13 0.105021 0.141476 0.187197 0.248450 0.328024 0.427526 0.560961
2025-04-20 0.084151 0.124013 0.178171 0.256479 0.366035 0.512954 0.723802
2025-04-27 0.074418 0.117990 0.181146 0.278226 0.422272 0.626365 0.935176
2025-05-04 0.064560 0.109255 0.177862 0.289153 0.462978 0.721270 1.130276
2025-05-11 0.053962 0.097070 0.166873 0.285884 0.480737 0.783123 1.282119
2025-05-18 0.044267 0.084400 0.152762 0.274911 0.483914 0.821614 1.400545
2025-05-25 0.036155 0.072890 0.138564 0.261247 0.480067 0.847256 1.499521
2025-06-01 0.032192 0.068208 0.135415 0.265984 0.507502 0.926355 1.693705
2025-06-08 0.027137 0.060477 0.125453 0.256770 0.508694 0.960179 1.813029
2025-06-15 0.024619 0.057401 0.123804 0.262781 0.538098 1.045920 2.031179
2025-06-22 0.022053 0.053755 0.120447 0.264870 0.560039 1.119841 2.234281
2025-06-29 0.019080 0.048842 0.114106 0.260796 0.570920 1.177049 2.417655
2025-07-06 0.016548 0.044481 0.108313 0.257162 0.582503 1.237376 2.614508
2025-07-13 0.015227 0.042772 0.108093 0.265505 0.619904 1.352122 2.929112
2025-07-20 0.014940 0.043614 0.113840 0.287968 0.690156 1.539971 3.408109
2025-07-27 0.013973 0.042485 0.114719 0.299252 0.736991 1.683743 3.809616
2025-08-03 0.012334 0.039186 0.109748 0.295877 0.750165 1.757413 4.070662
2025-08-10 0.010543 0.035069 0.102012 0.284546 0.743331 1.786798 4.239097
2025-08-17 0.008894 0.030997 0.093688 0.270434 0.727943 1.795331 4.362084
2025-08-24 0.008195 0.029703 0.092700 0.275327 0.759757 1.914013 4.742728
2025-08-31 0.007074 0.026798 0.086693 0.265811 0.754036 1.944814 4.924791
2025-09-07 0.006590 0.025911 0.086389 0.272018 0.789591 2.076674 5.354025